Sunday, November 16, 2008

Week 11

By Mark Goldman

Lock the following up:

Sand Diego (+5.5) at Pittsburgh - This line has moved 2 points since opening! Free points courtesy of the morons (SoBo Football included!) across the country that think they know what they're doing. I know San Diego hasn't looked great all year, but now's the time for them to turn it on. And R-berger hasn't looked so hot lately. The Chargers promoted Ron Riviera to D-Coordinator and the word is he's going to bring the pressure back to their lackluster D. Take the points.

Tennessee (-3) at Jacksonville - Everyone seems to think this is the place the Titans stumble. Not me. Jacksonville is on the verge of a free fall and the Titans' defense is going to eat up the Jags' offense. Take the team that is 8-1 ATS and give up only 3 points.

Arizona (-3) at Seattle - Seattle's giving up 25 ppg and Arizona is scoring 29. Meanwhile, Seattle is only scoring 18. Arizona has won all its games by margins of 5, 21, 6, 24, 21, 10. Giving up three doesn't make me nervous.


CALM DOWN, BALTIMORE!
Yes, Flacco looks for real. Yes, the offense has been more fun to watch than the past ten years combined. Yes, Ray Lewis looks like a man playing for a $40 Million contract! But let's not forget who we've beaten and to whom we have lost. We've played three contenders and lost to all of them. All our wins have come against second and third tier teams. I know, you have to win those games in order to be a legit team. But you also have to find a way to beat half of the big games you play. Coming up, the Ravens have the NFC East and Pittsburgh. To make the playoffs, the Ravens have to win at least 4 of the next 7 games. I expect them to do it. But before you go printing your playoff tickets, just remember that the team has had 3 big tests and failed them all.

That said, the Ravens are getting 7 points today! I didn't want to gynx it and make that a lock, but dear lord! 7 points! Baltimore has lost three games. Two of them were only by 3 each! And that was against the Titans and the Steelers. 7 points!

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