Sunday, September 27, 2009

Mark's Week 4 Locks

Baltimore (-13.5) vs. Browns: Call me crazy, but I don't think the Ravens D is as bad as it has looked the first two weeks. But the main reason I'm looking for the Ravens to cover the spread is that Cleveland can't stop the rush. They've been out-rushed by an average of 134 yards/game. And Baltimore can run and run in a variety of ways. Also, it doesn't help that Baltimore is like a kid who just got his license. Now that they can score and play offense, they're opening it up. I have a feeling Baltimore won't be ashamed to run the score up a little. Not to mention, Cleveland hasn't covered the spread in their last 10 games on grass. Baltimore 34, Browns 13

Atlanta (+4) at New England: It's simple. I don't think the Patriots are a good team. I've watched some of their preseason and both games against Buffalo and New York. This scheme is just not going to work. Now, maybe this is the week that Belichek will wake up and get back to playing sane football, but even if - their D can't tackle. Look for Michael Turner to run all day over a sloppy defense. Atlanta 28, new England 24

Washington (-6.5) at Detroit: Matt Stafford is throwing 50% completions. And he's got a 1-5 TD/INT ratio. Detroit has lost by 14 and 18 so far this season. If Campbell doesn't turn the ball over and Washington stays patient, they'll win this by double digits. Washington 24, Detroit 13

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