Nate's Lockdown: Week 6

Going to have to be short and sweet because I have to leave for my flight to catch Badgers-Buckeyes in less than an hour. But after a weekend when I went 2-1 (missed Penn State by a point) and hit a 4-1 upset special, I wouldn't want to deprive our readers of more quality picks.

Florida (-24.5) at Arkansas

If you've read my blog frequently, you'd know I've had a beat against Arkansas theory that has paid all year. After Florida lost to Ole Miss, the line is down enough to find value in the Gators. UF will be eager to take out last week's loss on the poor Hogs, who will just have to suffer through a rebuilding year.

Pick: Florida 48 Arkansas 10

Northern Illinois at Tennessee (-16.5)

Northern Illinois obviously has much less talent than the Vols, but they've shown a lot of grit following a down year in DeKalb. They're a few plays from 4-0, and although they will eventually fall short of a great upset, they will hang around enough to make Tennessee Coach Phil Fulmer start to worry about his job.

Pick: Tennessee 27 Northern Illinois 21

Rice at Tulsa (over 80.5)

"Over 80.5!" you say? Well, these two high-flying offenses might hit for a total of 100 points. The teams played in 96- and 97-point affairs last week; they've scored a combined 91 and 79 the last two times they met.

Tulsa's average game has been 55-24, while Rice's average score is 41-34. I smell the century mark.

Pick: Tulsa 62 Rice 41

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-4)

Pittsburgh is coming off a short week and an overtime win. Jacksonville is also coming off an overtime win, but at least they didn't lose two players for the season. The Steelers are beat up, and will feel no better after this trip to Florida.

Pick: Jacksonville 27 Pittsburgh 13

Upset Special: Kentucky (+500) at Alabama

I know you think this insane, but have you watched college football the last few years? The Wildcats are under the radar with the graduation of Andre Woodson but they are undefeated. This is the perfect let down spot for the Tide, who showed they can look past a team by the way they fell at home to UL-Moroe last year.

Pick: Kentucky 27 Alabama 23